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Following the Crowd

2026-03-28

Price tells you where the market is. Positioning tells you who is standing where — and whether the crowd is all leaning the same way.

"The market" was never one group. Small retail traders, large whales, and the takers pushing price right now can all be leaning different ways at the same time — and when they disagree, that disagreement is the interesting part.

So the positioning view splits them out: separate donuts for how retail, whales, and takers are positioned, long versus short. One picture, three crowds.

Each donut shows the balance of one crowd. When a group leans heavily one way, that side is crowded — and crowded trades are the ones that can unwind in a hurry. The moments worth a second look are when the crowds split: retail piled in one direction while whales lean the other is a very different story from everyone agreeing.

Above them sits open interest, shown in plain dollars — the total money actually committed to open positions right now. Real money building behind a move reads differently from a move running on fumes.

Positioning is a read on the crowd, nothing more. A one-sided donut tells you where people already are — it has never been a reliable call on what happens next, because crowded can stay crowded for a long, long time.

Read next to Regime, Trend, and Funding, it earns its place. Read alone, it's just a headcount.